Archive for the ‘Stocks’ Category

Mutual Fund Under-performance

Wednesday, January 24th, 2007

My wife and I like most people have mutual funds in our Roth and Rollover IRAs. I track the performance of these funds along with the rest of our portfolio very closely. In my opinion one of the mid-cap mutual funds we have investing in for years has underperformed. The first year I let it go because of their excellent long-term performance track record. However, now it has been over two years since I first notice this lag in returns so a couple weeks ago we decided to switch to a different mid-cap mutual fund that I like better. I have invested in this fund family and this fund before so I was comfortable making the switch. With the other mutual fund we wanted to switch there was a better fund within the family of funds so they will keep our business–just in a different fund.

These decisions have set off a change of events that have gotten on our nerves quite a bit. Since my wife held these mutual funds in her portfolio before we were married she had to contact her current brokerage firm to change her name on the account so it could be transferred. They were far from helpful and took their own sweet time and requested a lot of proof of marriage. Hopefully the funds will be transferred to own new IRA mutual fund fun by next week. Now the mutual fund where we were simply changing funds within the family were equally as difficult and needed an overabundance of proof of marriage to change her name on the account. Conversely, it was no problem for them to switch for one mutual fund to another–so if they need proof to change the name on the account how can they allow a fund change without that same proof?

We also have a global mutual fund that I like a lot because the managers have been around for decades and they have consistent performance. Now that has not been too great over the last couple years because global funds have skyrocketed and because our fund is more conservative it has not realized all those gains. Anyway, my wife needed to change her name on this account as well. We were not removing our money from the account, but they require a Gold Medallion (basically a Notary Public) on the document proving that she is who she says she is. Normally this would not be a problem, but because we bank through online banks they could not provide this for us. Neither could our brokerage firm–they said they only have that in their headquarters. So we might need to open a bank account at a local bank in order to get this gold medallion to change her name.

All of this has been going on for weeks and has been a pain in the *#&!. Hopefully we can resolve this soon so we can get on with our investment changes. Who knew that changing a name would be so difficult?

Investors' Business Daily's Top 10 Personal Finance Stories of the Week

Sunday, January 21st, 2007

From IBD.com

‘Lazy portfolios’ win again, beat S&P 500!

No fifth year in the bull run? That was last week’s red flag. So how do you protect yourself? Let’s begin with that good old Wall Street adage: “You make your money in stocks, you keep it in bonds.” Here’s the modern version: “You make money in stocks, you keep it in a lazy portfolio!” See Paul B. Farrell.

Some tax deductions and credits will be harder to find this year

This year, thanks to Congress making tax-law changes long after the IRS printed its forms, some taxpayers will spend a fair amount of time trying to figure out how to take the deductions that don’t appear on Form 1040 and elsewhere. See Tax Watch.

How to spend more money in retirement without going broke

Congratulations if you’ve saved enough money for a comfortable retirement. Now comes the hard part: spending it. See Life Savings.

Grantham’s latest 7-year forecast sees small-caps and most stocks lagging

Stock mutual-fund investors will have a difficult time making money through 2013 unless they focus on megacap blue chips or bonds, says investment strategist Jeremy Grantham. The latest forecast by the Boston-based research and consulting firm he chairs holds negative outlooks for almost every type of stock asset class, whether foreign or domestic. See Fund Watch.

Emerging markets managers grow bolder, less fearful of a major turndown

Investors holding their breath for a major correction in emerging markets may want to exhale a little, according to fund managers emboldened by a five-year rally for the sector and positive fundamentals. See Global Investor.

Apartment market not taking off, but then neither are rents

Despite signs of a pickup in multifamily construction in government data, housing analysts say a weak condominium market and slow growth in demand for rental units will prevent a surge in building in 2007. But they also say market conditions won’t support big rent increases for apartment dwellers. See full story.

Clear skies bring calm in insurance rates

Whew. The year 2006 is in the books, with no major Atlantic hurricanes or other such disasters. That’s definitely a good thing, especially for those in vulnerable areas. But as it turns out, it will help the rest of us financially too. Finally, after years of persistent annual increases, some in the double-digit range, property insurance rates — homeowners, renters and automobile insurance — should moderate. But is it time to celebrate? See Jennifer Openshaw.

Student-loan rate cut would mean savings, but lenders may balk

For the millions of borrowers who collectively face billions in college debt, the impact of a congressional proposal to slash interest rates on student loans remains murky. Although college debtors would welcome some relief, its form is in question. See full story.

Vista: Worthy, but largely unexciting

A new version of Microsoft Windows, the world’s most popular and important computer operating system, will finally arrive for consumers on Jan. 30. It has taken the giant software maker more than five years to replace Windows XP with this new version, called Windows Vista — an eternity by computer-industry reckoning. Many of the boldest plans for Vista were discarded in that lengthy process, and what’s left is a worthy, but largely unexciting, product. See Personal Technology.

Airline miles: Use them or lose them

Hoarding frequent-flier miles until the right trip opportunity comes along? You may not have much more time. Two major airlines have changed their mileage policies. See Marshall Loeb’s Daily Money Tip.


Secruities and Exchange Commission

Saturday, January 20th, 2007

If you are an investor and have never checked out the SEC’s website then you really should. If you do not know what the SEC does then click here for more information. It has all the information you might need on companies’ reports that they are required to make. While nosing around on the site you will find most of the background information on companies that you might be interested in investing. This information will provide you with the nitty gritty on a company and can help you find winning stocks and sniff out losers

How to Get Out of a Bad Annuity

Thursday, January 18th, 2007

Some more solid information on annuities from Kiplinger’s Personal Finance.
If you own a deferred variable annuity or an equity-indexed annuity that you no longer want or need, you have several options. There are three things to consider when determing this:

  1. How long you have owned the annuity
  2. The amount of the surrender charge
  3. Tax consequences of cashing out

Surrender charges

If you still have several years to go before the surrender period expires, it’s best to sit tight. In most cases, it’s not worth paying a surrender fee just to find a new investment. Most deferred annuities let you withdraw up to 10% of your balance or initial investment each year without a surrender charge. That may provide you with sufficient retirement income while the clock runs down on your surrender period.

If the surrender period is almost over and the surrender charge is dwindling, it may be time to jump ship, even if it means taking a small hit to get out. Moving your money to a company such as Vanguard or Ameritas that offers annuities with low annual fees and better investment choices could save you money in the long run.

Tax consequences

If you own the annuity inside an IRA or other retirement account, you can cash it out and reinvest the money without a tax hit as long as it stays in the account. Any money that you withdraw from a retirement account (other than a Roth IRA) is taxed at your regular income-tax rate, not the lower capital-gains rate reserved for most other investments. The part of the payout that represents a return of your initial investment would be tax-free.

Blow the whistle

If you believe you were misled when you bought the annuity–especially if you’re hit with a big surrender charge that you did not know about–contact your state insurance and securities regulators. That sometimes motivates the insurer to let you withdraw money from a contract without penalty.

At the very least, filing a complaint could warn other investors. “We often hear that senior citizens are embarrass because they feel they’ve been taken advantage of,” sats Barry Lanier, chief of the Bureau of Investigation for the Florida Department of Financial Services. “But they can helpboth themselves and future victims.”

Blockbuster (BBI) vs. Netflix (NFLX)

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

Jim Cramer recently picked BBI to take off and since then it has (even before he recommended it the stock had performed well). Now that Blockbuster (BBI) has provided customers the option off online service, similar to Netflix (NFLX), they are back from the dead. Moreover, Blockbuster has loaded up on subscribers and by the end of 2007 they estimate that part of the business could be up 5 fold. BBI allows you to mail it in a la Netflix (NFLX) or return it to the store and this is seen and what is driving subscriptions.

However, this week Netflix (NFLX) has counter by offering downloads of television shows and movies. We will see in the next several weeks what impact the recent moves of each will have on their prices.

Here is Consumer Commentary’s take on Netflix.

Annuities: How Do They Work?

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

As I said before I really do appreciate the insight provided with Kiplinger’s Personal Finance Magazine. Below is a portion of an example written by Kimberly Lankford.

. . . For starters they come in two varieties: Immediate-income annuities provide income right away; deferred annuities allow investors to save for retirement while deferring taxes.

With an immediate-income annuity, you give an insurance company a chunk of money in exchange for the insurer’s promise to send you regular payments for the rest of your life, or for a certainperiod of time. Immediate annuities can be an appropriate and simple way to invest some of your nest egg while you’re in retirement.

Deferred annuities, on the other hand, are complex investment products. Besides surrender charges, some charge annual fees that can top 2%, plus the management charges of the underlying investments.

The most common type of deferred annuities is a variable annuity, which lets you choose from among several mutual fund-like accounts. The value of your accounts rises and falls with the performance of those funds. An quity-indexed annuity is an exotic variation of deferred annuity that ties returns to stock-market indexes.

A deferred annuity offers tax benefits similar to those of a traditional non-deductible IRA. You don’t owe taxes until you begin making withdrawals, which are then taxed as ordinary income. Deferred annuities became much less appealing when the tax rate on capital gains dropped to 15% (or lower), in 2003, making it more attractive, tax-wise, to simply invest in stocks and mutual funds.

Kiplinger's Personal Finance Magazine Review

Tuesday, January 16th, 2007

If you have never read www.kiplinger.com or the magazine for personal finance you are missing out. I just started a two-year subscription for $24 to Kiplinger’s and I was very happy with the first issue I received in the mail. I receive Money magazine as well and i think Kiplinger’s is a much better magazine revolving around the same theme of personal finance. Both magazine have much of the same type of beginning-level fair, but Kiplinger’s has some more sophisticated articles revolving around financial topics that are not necessarily rudimentary.

So Kiplinger magazine is a best-of magazine on personal finance with Money running second. It is the other way around when viewing kiplinger.com and money.com.

Now I have not spend a terribly large amount of time on kiplinger.com, but I have on money.com. I think Moneymagazine online is hea-and-shoulders above Kiplinger’s online. It was much more actionable information and more in-depth articles to help you in your day-to-day personal finance life.

Benchmarks

Sunday, January 14th, 2007

Benchmarks are an inportant aspect of measure risk and performance in a portfolio or mutual fund. You need to compare your investment to a benchmark that is most reflective of it. So if you do not benchmark correctly you cannot gauge how your investment is performing in relation to others that are similar. Plus you will not know how the risk of your portfolio is near what it should be.

For example, if you have a small cap growth mutual fund you would not benchmark it versus the S&P 500 because those investment types are almost polar opposites–the risk and permoance comparision would be inaccurate. So what out for some mutual fund companies that benchmark their fund versus a benchmark that they compare well to in order to make their investment look they way they want it to look; not as it should actually be seen. If you have a large cap core mutual fund then the S&P 500 would be a great benchmark to use to compare.

Tips for Investing in Wall Street Stocks

Friday, January 12th, 2007

When you decide to invest your money in stocks you have to be careful. Many think that investing is either easy or monumentally difficult; it is neither. It takes a lot of learning about investing, finance, economics, etc. to really trust yourself when making stock investment decisions. Personally, I knew nothing about stocks until about 6 years ago when I began a job in the investment industry and since then I have been learning more and more. For the past several years I have felt confident in my investment strategies that I can easily sleep at night with my decisions.

Here are some tips to consider if you think you want to invest in individual stocks.

1) You need to have at least a basic understanding of Wall Street investing and the stock market as a whole. You need to know how to interpret financials of an individual company. You need to understand how the quantitative and qualitative data of company is important to investing. So if you do not have a good grasp of this information and more you should shy away from the equities market until you have a command of it.
2) I would recommend you start with a universe of large cap, S & P 500 stocks. These are very well-know and well-covered stocks so their will be a wealth of information available to research your choice. I stay with these stocks because they have less volatility than smaller company stocks, the ease of information gathering and real potential to make money investing with less risk (and reward) than smaller capitalization stocks.

3) Do your homework. In Jim Cramer’s book, radio and tv show he states that you must spend at least one hour per week, per stock, doing your homework on that stock. I believe this is a good rule of thumb because you need to keep current with your companies’ news. Many stick to the Buy and Hold theory of investing and this can be a losing proposition. Buy and Hold investors often do no homework and just thimk time will make them money. Jim Kramer does not know everything about investing, but he does have some provocative ideas that can help the average investor.

4) A corollary to number 3 is to bookmark the Investors Relation portion of your stock’s website. Here you can keep abreast of the important actions that your company is taking. Plus you can listen to conference calls that can give you essential insight to the health of the company you are investing.

5) Be disciplined. Personally, I follow many of the aspects of how Warren Buffet invests (Buy and Hold is the one aspect I do not subscribe). So come up with a discipline and stick to it. That means you can have certain criteria a company must meet to come onto your investing radar. Stick to that criteria.

6) Have an exit strategy. An obvious cycle evolves here: Discipline and criteria get you potential investments; doing your homework helps you pull the trigger on an investment and keeps you in the know; and know when to fold up the tent and get out of the stock.

These are simple guidelines to consider when you decide to take on Wall Street and invest in individual stocks.

History Always Repeats Itself In the Stock Market

Wednesday, January 10th, 2007

If I have not told you before here it is. Investors’ Business Daily is the best newspaper out there for investors hands down. For an example of some great insight read the article below that was written last week for IBD by by Jonah Keri.

Investors are always looking for the latest news on the next great stock. Why focus on the past, some might say, when the only money to be made is in the present and future?

It’s true that investors can’t directly make money off Boeing’s (BA) breakout in the mid-1970s or Wal-Mart’s (WMT) big advance in the ’80s.

But studying patterns of old market winners is a great way to gain insight into the bases being formed by a new generation of stocks. For as long as the stock market has existed, the same patterns have kept popping up, again and again.

Decades of IBD research drives this point home. The best stocks carve certain bullish patterns, regardless of the era. Whether in the 1920s, 1950s, 1980s or today, stock charts always look the same.

Those patterns include the following: the cup with handle, saucer base, flat base and double bottom. You also will find shorter patterns such as the three-weeks-tight and the high-tight flag throughout the stock market’s history.

Why do these patterns keep repeating themselves? Because for all our technological, medical and societal changes, human beings remain, by and large, the same.

As noted in Friday’s Investor’s Corner, people constantly let their emotions get the best of them. Fear and greed govern many investors’ decisions now, just as they did 100 years ago. Those emotions translate to certain price patterns.

The classic cup-with-handle base, for instance, is little more than an outline of investor emotions, with fear and greed dictating the dips and surges on a stock’s chart.

So when you see a stock start to assume a certain shape on its chart, it pays to go back and review older examples to see how other stocks taking that same form fared.

Armed with that knowledge, you will be better equipped to withstand blips and shakeouts, wait for a breakout and bank big gains.

When Cisco Systems (CSCO) went public in 1990, it did so during a tumultuous time for the market. The economy was struggling while conflicts abroad were heating up.

The maker of routers and switches broke out of a cup-with-handle base in June of that year 1. But the stock quickly stalled, falling through its 10-week moving average.



But Cisco wasn’t breaking down. Armed with strong fundamentals, the stock simply needed time to build a new base, biding its time until all the pieces were in place and the broad market had improved.

Sure enough, Cisco’s correction evolved into a cup-with-handle pattern lasting about three months 2. The stock staged a powerful breakout during the week ended Oct. 19, 1990 3, rocketing 32%. Cisco went on to become the decade’s biggest winner, during a 10-year period that included hundreds of tech titans.

Fast-forward to late 2002. The Nasdaq has gone through one of the worst bear markets in Wall Street history. But just as the market hit bottom, eBay (EBAY) was about to take off. The online auction site corrected for nearly four months from June to October ’02. That pattern turned out to be another double bottom 4.

Like Cisco, eBay owned strong fundamentals when it broke out during the week of Oct. 25 5. The market struggled for a few more months before following through in March 2003. By then eBay was surging to multiyear highs 6.