Archive for July, 2006

The Housing Bubble?

Tuesday, July 11th, 2006

The thrills that lead to an irrational exuberance in the U.S. housing market over the past several years might have come to an end. With the Fed continuing to raise rates mortgage rates have increased as well. This has started the slowdown; but this slowdown might turn in to a bubble.

During this craze of the early 2000s many were talked into mortgages that were not in their best interests. The seeds that were sown during the boom are going to come back and haunt many during the bust. You have already begun to see foreclosure rates skyrocket recently and more are to come.
Many homebuyers thought it was perfectly fine to purchase homes that were beyond their means because ARMs, interest-only loans and piggy-back loans made them affordable. With interest rates increasing and cheap interest rate ARMs coming due some homeowners that used these devices to purchase their home are in trouble. Many were told that it would be easy to flip the property before the ARM came due or interest rates went up. Well, that did not happen for everyone. Some of these loans have gone up 20-75%, maybe more. That has squeezed these homeowners into an impossible position of foreclosure.
A seller’s housing market has shifted quickly to a buyer’s market. If you are looking for a home the longer you hold out the better the opportunity it will be to get a deal.

Contrarian Investing

Monday, July 10th, 2006

Technical analysts used to talk-up the odd lot theory. Basically, what they would do is the opposite of regular smaller investors acted because it is assumed they were less experienced in the market. There has not been found much empirical evidence to back this theory up.

The recent incarnation of this thought process is contrarian investing. Contrarian investors will go against the widely held Herd point of view. They will look for investments that most are bullish on and look for the possibilty that most should be bearish and vice versa. Remember The Herd will build up popular opinion sometimes on investments that are not truly sound. Being at the wrong end of this can hurt your overall performance in your portfolio. There is nothing wrong with following The Herd if you have done your homework and believe the investment will be profitable.

Many mutual funds have popped up investing in the contrarian theory. Just beware of The Herd mentality and placing too much emphasis on it or against it.

Earnings Season for Wall Street

Sunday, July 9th, 2006

The 2nd Quarter numbers are ready to come out for many companies this week. This should help the stock market which has lagged for most of the year (S&P 500 YTD: 1.38%). General Electric and Alcoa will lead the charge out of the box this week and many expect great earnings results from both companies. Some insiders believe that with the possibility of a lot of good news this week investors can look for gains in the overall stock market this week. On the other hand there is a camp that think those gains have already been priced into the stock market so they believe the Q2 earnings numbers will just help the market support itself and not so much for gains this week.

Car Loans

Saturday, July 8th, 2006

Before you go into the dealership looking for a specific car you need to find out some information on car loan companies. Many people do not even know that there is a car loan option outside of the automaker’s loan offer at the dealership. Whether it is a used or new car it does not matter. Do some work first by applying to some car loan companies. A couple that offer good rates and service are E-Loan and Capital One Auto Finance. You can apply online or over the phone and within days you will know the APR rate they offer on the car loan as well as have the paperwork necessary to go forward.

The purpose of applying to several companies for a loan is to get the best deal. You come into the dealership equipped with a couple loan offers and they will know that you know what you are doing. Dealerships will try to get the best loan for them, but if you let them know you have other offers and do not tell them what APR was offered you are in the driver’s seat. Another thing most don’t know is that you can negotiate a car loan rate. With your other offers you are positioned to get the best rate possible on your car loan. When you purchase the car you will have peace of mind that you were not taken advantage of and that you got the best rate possible.

Russell Indices and Stock Market Benchmarking

Friday, July 7th, 2006

Recently Russell reconstituted their indices. Their indices are some of the best benchmarks out there to compare a specific slice of the stock market to. If you have a mutual fund, portfolio of money managers or individual stocks look at their statistics compared to a specific Russell index it is benchmarked against. Is it at the correct risk level compared to its benchmark? Is it providing better performance than the benchmark? These are important ways to evaluate your holdings.

Another benefit is that you can verify what you own is benchmarked correctly. Often times companies will either benchmark themselves against a friendly index or influence decision makers (at a brokerage firm) to benchmark them kindly so their performance looks better than it really is. If a small cap portfolio is benchmarked against the S&P 500 you know there is a problem because the S&P 500 is a measurement of the top 500 companies (according to capitalization) and is the polar opposite of a small cap portfolio.

Click here for a list of indices that reconstituted and what companies make up that index. It is a great learning tool to look up an individual company and learn why Russell lists it as it does. Also, you can learn what criteria Russell requires for a company to be listed in a specific index.

Teaching Your Children about Personal Finance

Friday, July 7th, 2006

You might never think about it, but one of the most important lessons of a child’s life can be to teach tem about personal finance. Just like any other behavior, if you teach children when they are young about how to handle money they will be ahead of the game when they are on their own. One huge reason credit card companies prey on college students is because their ignorance on credit cards and debt. If you teach your child the importance of saving and even saving for retirement they will lbe better off. It should be a mandatory class taught in school because debt is becoming a worse and worse problem in the United States every year.

The following are great subjects to begin the life-long learn curve on personal finance.

  • Money
  • Savings
  • Investments
  • Retirement
  • Credit

You might think your children are too young, but as long as they can understand the concepts you show have a lesson plan for them to learn about personal finance.

The Current Stock Market News I

Wednesday, July 5th, 2006


With news of North Korea testing intercontinental missiles and oil reaching a record of $75 a barrel the stock market had a very rough day. Whenever there is global tension like there is right now it can lead to a bear market. We saw an instance of it today, but that does not mean tomorrow this will continue. However, if problems with North Korea escalate further this could have a serious adverse affect on the stock market’s behavior.

Personal Finance Magazines

Wednesday, July 5th, 2006

Personal Finance magazines are ubiqitous as are personal finance blogs. Everyone seems to want to offer advice and as always it is smartest to go with the best resources. Here are two that are highly recommended.
Money magazine gives you a little bit of everything while not overwhelming a novice. It touches on everyday realistic topics that we can all relate to. It does have an emphasis on investing help, but that focus does not affect the coverage of the rest. It is easy to read and is good for beginners to experts. You will find Money to be an excellent resource.

SmartMoney magazine gives analysis, investing information and personal finance advice on topics that we all are interested in. Its online companion, smartmoney.com, is an excellent resource that gives you the ABCs of how finance works, to much more nuanced and detailed information that focuses on people with more personal finance knowledge.

Try these two personal finance magazines to catch up with your knowledge.

Short Term Health Insurance I

Tuesday, July 4th, 2006


More and more companies are popping up these days because the industry sector has more importance. With employees switching jobs and COBRA health insurance costs rising more people are looking to short term health insurance. Even at many jobs you have to wait a specific period of time before you are covered. So people need options.

Short-term health insurance plans gives the insured coverage for a limited period of time. Typically, short-term plans offer coverage up to six months and sometimes 12 months. If you will need health insurance for a longer period short term health insurance is probably not best for you.
  • The application process for short-term health insurance is usually simpler than your standard term health insurance.
  • Short term health insurance plans protect you against accidents or illnesses, rather than to provide comprehensive coverage.
  • Typically they do not include coverage for preventive care, physicals, immunizations, dental or vision care.

Purchasing a short-term medical insurance plan will make you ineligible for any guaranteed issue individual health plans commonly referred to as HIPAA Plans. So be aware before purchasing short term health insurance. Also know that short-term health insurance plans typically do not cover pre-existing medical conditions. Pre-existing conditions are usually considered any medical condition you have been treated for in the last 3-5 years. If you have an existing medical condition you will need to look into making sure that you will be covered. If this is the case then COBRA might be the answer.

Otherwise, if you need a stop-gap health insurance policy the short term health insurance are typically a good and inexpensive option.

Investing During Retirement

Monday, July 3rd, 2006

Investing during retirement is different than investing for retirement. When you retire your investment objectives change to generating income and have enough money to live the rest of your life.

Some things to consider:

· How much can I safely withdraw?

· How can I make my retirement money last until death?

· How do I handle inflation?

· How do I transfer money to my heirs efficiently?

Some potential problem issues to consider:

· Fixed dollar withdrawal programs increase your risk and becomes a serious problem if a market decline.

· You might live until your 90s or older; how can you be ready for that financially?

· Inflation will never completely disappear so expect it.

· Taxes are a retiree’s worst problem for returns.

· You have to be prepared to watch your spending carefully.

· At age 70 ½ you must deplete your retirement accounts: how do you handle the influx of money?

If you plan accordingly, you will feel safer about your retirement. With no plan you can lose control of the situation during retirement because there are some many factors that there is no way to control. There is no comprehensive plan to follow; you must assess your situation individually so consider these factors and more when investing during your retirement.